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The Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), and the Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) are perhaps the most widely-used information criteria (IC) in model building and selection. A fourth, Minimum Description Length (MDL), is closely related to the BIC. In a nutshell, they provide guidance as which alternative model provides the most "bang for buck," i.e., the best fit after penalizing for model complexity. Penalizing for complexity is important since, given candidate models of similar predictive or explanatory power, the simplest model is most likely to be the best choice. In line with Occam's razor, complex models sometimes perform poorly on data not used in the model building. There are several others, including AIC3, SABIC, and CAIC, and no clear consensus among authorities as far as I am aware as to which is "best" overall. IC will not necessarily agree on which model should be chosen. Cross-validation, Predicted Residual Error Sum of Squares (PRESS) statistic, a kind of cross-validation, and Mallows’ Cp are also used instead of IC. Information criteria are covered in varying levels in detail in most statistics textbooks and are the subject of numerous academic papers. I know of no single go-to source on this topic.

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The Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), and the Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) are perhaps the most widely-used information criteria (IC) in model building and selection. A fourth, Minimum Description Length (MDL), is closely related to the BIC. In a nutshell, they provide guidance as which alternative model provides the most "bang for buck," i.e., the best fit after penalizing for model complexity. Penalizing for complexity is important since, given candidate models of similar predictive or explanatory power, the simplest model is most likely to be the best choice. In line with Occam's razor, complex models sometimes perform poorly on data not used in the model building. There are several others, including AIC3, SABIC, and CAIC, and no clear consensus among authorities as far as I am aware as to which is "best" overall. IC will not necessarily agree on which model should be chosen. Cross-validation, Predicted Residual Error Sum of Squares (PRESS) statistic, a kind of cross-validation, and Mallows’ Cp are also used instead of IC. Information criteria are covered in varying levels in detail in most statistics textbooks and are the subject of numerous academic papers. I know of no single go-to source on this topic.

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The global forecast for the Asian markets is murky following recent volatility, with crude oil prices providing support in what has been an otherwise tough month. The European markets were down and the U.S. bourses were mixed and flat and the Asian markets figure to split the difference.The TSE finished modestly lower on Friday following losses from the financial shares and property stocks.For the day, the index sank 15.09 points or 0.49 percent to finish at 3,061.35 after trading between 3,057.84 and 3,089.78. Volume was 1.39 billion shares worth 1.30 billion Singapore dollars. There were 285 decliners and 184 gainers.

The lead from Wall Street offers little clarity as the major averages opened lower on Friday and then bounced back and forth across the unchanged line, finally finishing mixed and little changed.The Dow added 33.18 points or 0.10 percent to finish at 34,798.00, while the NASDAQ eased 4.54 points or 0.03 percent to close at 15,047.70 and the S&P 500 rose 6.50 points or 0.15 percent to end at 4,455.48. For the week, the Dow rose 0.6 percent, the NASDAQ added 0.1 percent and the S&P gained 0.5 percent.The lackluster performance on Wall Street came on uncertainty about the outlook for the markets following recent volatility.

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